Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

Lunar Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Lunar Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	32	18

Analysis

Dems end up with 58.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		1	20	117	T	407
2004 President	37/56	27/56	64/112	57.1%		3	93	1727	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	69/89	45/89	114/178	64.0%

Links

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