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Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	18
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 19 36 55 Republican 14 26 40 Independent 0 2 2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis

Here are my final predictions for the Senate. Mississippi and Wyoming predictions are based on the special elections with incumbent Wicker in Mississippi and Barrasso in Wyoming. My predictions for Cochran and Enzi are R+60%/Strong.

Now for my House predictions. I will only post the seats that change parties, based on my completely objective predictions. A lot of these races could go either way.

R to D (29): AL-02, AK-AL, AZ-01, CO-04, CT-04, FL-08, FL-24, ID-01, IL-10, IL-11, MI-07, MI-09, MN-03, MN-06, NV-03, NJ-03, NJ-07, NM-01, NM-02, NY-13, NY-25, NY-29, NC-08, OH-01, OH-15, OH-16, PA-03, VA-11, WA-08

D to R (3): FL-16, PA-11, TX-22

Democrats 262, Republicans 173

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

4: 2008-11-04 @ 14:31:07 3: 2008-10-22 @ 03:57:39 2: 2008-10-14 @ 03:10:22 1: 2007-11-12 @ 22:20:34 View Version

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