PredictionsNewsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - gumball machine (L-CA) ResultsForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Advertisements

Political Posters!
History of the Parties


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed


160-600-tplots-ad3

Date of Prediction: 2008-10-27 Version:12

Prediction Map
gumball machine Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
gumball machine Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
503317
piepiepie

Analysis

Unfortunately, it looks like Bob Conley cannot win when he is trailing by 10 points eight days before the election.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2010 Senate 33/37 22/37 55/74 74.3% pie 87 1 133T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 23/37 58/74 78.4% pie 10 2 74T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 109 56T
P 2008 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 28 1 139T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 12 8 117T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 110 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 9/52 6/52 15/104 14.4% pie 2 - 213T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 78 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 39 1 31T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 17 9 107T
Aggregate Predictions 243/300 161/300 404/600 67.3% pie


Back to 2008 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

© David Leip 2003 All Rights Reserved