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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-11 Version:20

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos10
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-2-2-413417-3
Rep+2+2+4-1-1-2538+2
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193049
Republican123749
Independent202
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2012-10-11 @ 01:18:34 prediction Map
Okay, I'll be the first to call it, so then I can say "told ya so" later on...Tom Smith will win Pennsylvania.

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-10-11 @ 14:26:03 prediction Map
Pretty Bold, he has been closing some of the polling gap so on paper its starting to look more possible.

Perhaps the Casey name is not as strong as it once was? I still predict a Casey victory but we'll see.

 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2012-10-11 @ 19:41:34 prediction Map
If Casey cannot win, I'll be amazed. He's socially conservative for a Democrat, and he's led most of the way so far. My best guess is that this race will be like Michigan- looks competetive for the moment, and then goes back to what it was before. However, Smith's rapid rise is unnerving...


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 302/334 202/334 504/668 75.4% pie



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