Date of Prediction: 2012-10-25 Version:4
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Analysis
I'm switching Indiana from R to D after Mourdock's comments about rape.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 3 Tsk, tsk. It looks like our chances of retaking the Senate have been complicated. A LOT. Todd Akin has just about blown what was an almost certain pickup for the GOP (thanks a lot, Tea Partiers!), numerous polls show Scott Brown behind (although one new poll has him leading by 3 points--let's hope it's true!), the progressive nut Tammy Baldwin is STILL leading in Wisconsin, and Kaine seems to be pulling away in Virginia, although I think I saw some polls that had Allen leading. Version: 2 I updated this by changing Connecticut from Democrat to Republican, based on the most recent polling from this race. Version: 1 Once again, just my personal predictions for the time being.
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