Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map

realmichaud Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

realmichaud Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	26
Rep	5
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	1
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+3	+5	0	0	0	15	6	21	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-3	-5	4	1	5	-5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	26	30	56
Republican	5	37	42
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis

I think Dems will add seats in the House.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%		1	5	401	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	10/33	40/66	60.6%		1	5	252	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	82/89	51/89	133/178	74.7%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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