PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - dgentile (G-NJ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
dgentile MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dgentile MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+1+30-1-115520+2
Rep0+1+1-2-2-4426-3
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic243054
Republican73744
Independent202
pie

Analysis

MT - Tester just barely holds seat
IN - Donnelly scratches out victory
ND,MO,MA - Women empower women
NV,AZ - Latinos topple Heller, Flake squeaks by
FL - Mack is whack
VA - Macaca not forgotten or forgiven


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 234
P 2020 President 51/56 37/56 88/112 78.6% pie 2 168 480T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 24/35 54/70 77.1% pie 1 331 101T423
P 2016 President 42/56 25/56 67/112 59.8% pie 2 26 597T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 15/34 45/68 66.2% pie 1 96 277T362
P 2012 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 2 1 508T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 16/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 34 144T343
P 2010 Senate 26/37 16/37 42/74 56.8% pie 4 48 359T456
P 2008 President 54/56 35/56 89/112 79.5% pie 5 12 247T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 1 29 117T407
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 3 77 232T465
P 2004 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 5 76 1629T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 426/485 263/485 689/970 71.0% pie



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