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Date of Prediction: 2014-07-30 Version:15
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Analysis
A few changes: Alaska- Now looks to be leaning in Mark Begich's direction. Dan Sullivan has been battered badly by both primary and Democrat attacks. Mead Treadwell may end up winning the nomination. I also moved West Virginia from safe to lean Republican as Natalie Tennant has remained competitive. All of the rest of the news in the latest round of polls seem like good news for Republicans. These include a few surprisingly close polls in 'Safe Dem' states like Virginia, New Jersey, and New Mexico. Ed Gillespie apparently had a strong debate last weekend in Virginia. Republicans appear poised to take control of the United States Senate, albeit by a thin majority.
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