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Date of Prediction: 2014-09-29 Version:14
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Analysis
For the first time ever, I have the Republicans taking the Senate, as Iowa and Alaska flip to the GOP. Assuming that Orman wins and caucuses with the Democrats, they'll only need to flip one of those back in order to maintain control. I've thought that control of the Senate was close to a 50/50 proposition for a while now, but I give Republicans a slight edge at this point, probably about 60/40 in their favor.
Prediction History
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