Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-22 Version:16

Prediction Map

d-russ Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

d-russ Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-5	-4	-9	11	1	12	-8
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	-1	-1	12	2	14	+8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	32	45
Republican	23	30	53
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis

Georgia goes for Nunn on election day but Purdue will win in the runoff. Landrieu also wins on election day but Cassidy will win in the runoff.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	29/56	79/112	70.5%		9	393	280	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%		6	343	164	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	7/12	15/24	62.5%		3	343	47	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		2	143	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		21	1	42	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		18	1	39	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	136	17	T	153
2012 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%		84	5	702	T	760
2012 Senate	25/33	13/33	38/66	57.6%		27	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		3	43	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	40/52	20/52	60/104	57.7%		57	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	2/4	5/8	62.5%		3	14	37	T	106
2010 Senate	31/37	17/37	48/74	64.9%		48	1	265	T	456
2010 Governor	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%		41	2	179	T	312
2008 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%		4	12	1031	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	393/465	223/465	616/930	66.2%

User Info

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	d-russ Senatorial Endorsements

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