Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 25, 2019, 01:29:37 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | | | |-+  KY-CNN: McConnell +4
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: KY-CNN: McConnell +4  (Read 2392 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 03, 2014, 03:03:43 pm »

https://twitter.com/DavidChalian/status/507257133063503872

Guys I'm beginning to think that McConnell might currently be leading by 4 percentage points. I'd like to see another 5-10 polls also showing him leading by 4 percentage points before I'm absolutely certain though.
« Last Edit: September 03, 2014, 03:07:06 pm by ℒief »Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,503
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2014, 03:05:21 pm »

Cruisin'. Smiley
Logged
Vega
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2014, 03:20:50 pm »

Cruisin'. Smiley

4 points, 1 out of the margin of error, is not crusin'.
Logged
backtored
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 503
Vatican City State


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2014, 03:27:13 pm »

Three polls in 24 hours of the most overrated Senate race in America. 

As I said in another thread, so many of these races in other states may have moved a lot in the last 30 days, but we'd never know about it because everyone is too busy polling Kentucky, Georgia, and Kansas, presumably trying to fish for new political stories where there just aren't any.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2014, 03:29:31 pm »

Well, I would have never guessed Grin

CNN should also be out with a poll today. I'm expecting another with McConnell up 3-5.
Logged
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,214
United States


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2014, 04:10:09 pm »

The only way Grimes wins is if she sweeps whatever debates are held, or if there's some kind of bizarre scandal that works in her favor.  A very thin line to walk.  
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,770
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 03, 2014, 04:11:33 pm »

Should be noted that the Libertarian candidate was not tested in this poll. Don't think it would matter much. 
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,514


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 03, 2014, 04:12:45 pm »

The only way Grimes wins is if she sweeps whatever debates are held, or if there's some kind of bizarre scandal that works in her favor.  A very thin line to walk.  

McConnell himself is a bizarre scandal.
Logged
ModerateVAVoter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,428


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2014, 04:42:14 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,514


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2014, 04:47:32 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?

The only people who care about the campaign bus "scandal" is the right-wing media that's determined to elect McConnell.
Logged
Beat-‘Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,378
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2014, 05:14:48 pm »

Isn't Grimes going through a "bizarre scandal" of her own? The issue with her campaign bus?

The only people who care about the campaign bus "scandal" is the right-wing media that's determined to elect McConnell.
And of course POLITICO gave some unnecessary coverage to it
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2014, 05:45:48 pm »

Three polls in 24 hours of the most overrated Senate race in America. 

As I said in another thread, so many of these races in other states may have moved a lot in the last 30 days, but we'd never know about it because everyone is too busy polling Kentucky, Georgia, and Kansas, presumably trying to fish for new political stories where there just aren't any.

Overrated in what sense? The sitting Senate Republican leader leading in a deep red state by only 4 points seems pretty worthy of a story to me...

Anyway, McConnell clearly has the edge as of now, but it's not insurmountable. Grimes needs to get aggressive and flip the turtle on his shell.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,705


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 03, 2014, 06:52:41 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2014, 07:02:00 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2014, 07:08:51 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

reading, clown.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2014, 07:10:01 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

reading, clown.

There's no reason to believe McConnell will gain, in the end. Nice try.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2014, 08:33:05 pm »

This is a poll of likely voters. The registered voter sample shows McConnell up only 1 point 46-47. This race is a tossup.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,705


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2014, 08:36:09 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

He's lead by four now. If Grimes wasn't leading by now, she isn't going to win. And there's plenty of reason to believe McConnell will gain: Republicans coming home.

McConnell will win by about six to eight which is comfortable, clown.

Politics, KCDem: it just ain't your thing.
Logged
Panda Express
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,157


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 03, 2014, 08:45:23 pm »

What's with all the clowns in this topic?
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2014, 08:47:00 pm »

lol phil
Logged
GaussLaw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,292
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2014, 09:21:28 pm »

McConnell is now officially favored.  Period.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 03, 2014, 09:28:29 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

He's lead by four now. If Grimes wasn't leading by now, she isn't going to win. And there's plenty of reason to believe McConnell will gain: Republicans coming home.

McConnell will win by about six to eight which is comfortable, clown.

Politics, KCDem: it just ain't your thing.

Hahaha sorry if I'm not following the instincts of an uppity dego
Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,924
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 03, 2014, 09:40:00 pm »

Like I said, it will be comfortable in the end.

4 points isn't comfortable, clown.

holy shxt bruh why so angry
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 48,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 04, 2014, 01:10:34 am »

4% is still winnable.

Internals:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/03/cnn.orc.kentucky.poll.pdf

Grimes now has 84% of Democrats already, while she only got 75% before.

But McConnell has managed to increase his support among Indies.

So, it really depends if Grimes can turn out enough Democrats and reverse her slide among Indies.
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 04, 2014, 02:21:08 am »

I'm starting to think this race is over.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines