Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Florida
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Poll
Question: Rate Florida and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 194

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Florida  (Read 4478 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 19, 2016, 03:42:58 AM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 68
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 0
Lean Trump: 11
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 15

Clinton: 77
Trump: 29
Toss-Up: 0

Predictions



Clinton: 77
Trump: 29

Florida: Genuinely stuck on this one between Toss-Up and Lean D. But I'll say Clinton wins it 52-46 right now.

Also thanks to a lot of trolls DC now shows up D>80% on the prediction map. Thanks Roll Eyes
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2016, 03:51:59 AM »
Pure Tossup, assuming the election is competitive/close and Trump doesn't implode. This will likely be one of the closest states, with both candidates having a very high floor.

Trump 49.5
Clinton 49.0
Other 1.5
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2016, 08:44:34 AM »
Toss-up. But I think Hillary will take the state by two or three points.

✓Clinton: 51.0%
Trump: 47.8%


However, Rubio will win reelection by a narow margin, I think.

✓Rubio: 50.8%
Murphy: 48.0%
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2016, 09:02:48 AM »
« Edited: September 24, 2016, 05:01:19 PM by Spark498 »
Toss-up. Lean R

Trump 50.0%
Clinton 50.0%
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tinman64
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2016, 10:59:35 AM »
Tossup.

Clinton 49
Trump 47
Others 4
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windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2016, 11:01:39 AM »
Lean dem
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Flake
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« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2016, 11:02:25 AM »
Lean Hillary

Hillary: 52%
Trump: 46%
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2016, 11:06:42 AM »
Lean D. 

I think Clinton will pull ahead after the DNC and put this state barely in her column.  It will be within 5 points, though.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2016, 11:10:42 AM »
Toss up/Tilt D

Demographic advantage gives it to Clinton in the end.

50-47-3 (Clinton-Trump-Other)
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #9 on: July 19, 2016, 11:17:22 AM »
Tilt D, not ready to call it Lean D just yet.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: July 19, 2016, 11:21:28 AM »
Toss up, Clinton.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: July 19, 2016, 11:31:27 AM »
Too soon to call it anything but a toss-up. I'll say Hillary wins 50-48.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #12 on: July 19, 2016, 11:35:28 AM »
Tossup (in the sense that OH was a tossup in 2012)
Clinton 51
Trump 47
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #13 on: July 19, 2016, 12:10:23 PM »
Lean D.

Clinton 49
Trump 48
Johnson 2
Others 1
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Higgs
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« Reply #14 on: July 19, 2016, 12:45:01 PM »
According to the polls it's tilt R, but I'd say pure tossup.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: July 19, 2016, 07:06:17 PM »
Okay, I'm voting Toss-Up and Clinton.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #16 on: July 19, 2016, 07:09:30 PM »
Lean D; 53-46 Clinton
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AGA
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« Reply #17 on: July 19, 2016, 07:15:15 PM »
Toss up, Clinton. It will probably be won by fewer than five points.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #18 on: July 19, 2016, 07:24:37 PM »
Lean D
Clinton 52-47-1
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dspNY
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« Reply #19 on: July 19, 2016, 07:27:14 PM »
Tilt Democratic

Clinton 50
Trump 47
Johnson 2
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #20 on: July 19, 2016, 07:57:55 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on July 19, 2016, 07:06:17 PM
Okay, I'm voting Toss-Up and Clinton.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #21 on: July 19, 2016, 08:25:16 PM »
Toss-up.
But Clinton will win it with a small margin come Nov.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #22 on: July 19, 2016, 09:35:13 PM »
Tossup, Clinton will win the state if Trump implodes by September/October.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #23 on: July 20, 2016, 01:10:55 AM »
Voted Lean D although I'm really at the tossip/lean D spot.

Clinton 51
Trump 48
Johnson et al 1
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KingSweden
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« Reply #24 on: July 20, 2016, 08:24:00 AM »
Tossup/Lean D. I think Clinton has a narrow advantage, but the Sunshine state will be a nailbiter per usual.

Clinton 49
Trump 47
Others 2
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