Portugal's politics and elections

[Walmart_shopper]

Is the PCP an oppositional party or do they participate in government?

Edit: I just realized that PCP is currently backing Costa. I'm surprised that an actual Leninist party does so well in Western Europe.

[kaoras]

Main discrepancy seems to be between PSD and CDU,

Also, lol CDS (though that was expected).

[VPH]

Interesting that IL could pick up even two MPs. Would be fascinating to see them and LIVRE in Parliament. As interesting as Chega might be too, I don't want that.

[Antonio the Sixth]

If these polls are right, PS should be expected to fall just short of an absolute majority, right?

[Walmart_shopper]

If these polls are right, PS should be expected to fall just short of an absolute majority, right?

The upside of the SIC poll will get them pretty close.

[crals]

PS could get a majority with PAN, which is nearly as good for them as an absolute majority.

[Antonio the Sixth]

The elections page has a really cool feature that allows you to see what the 2015 results were like in the areas that have reported so far. It seems that the votes we have so far are areas that overrepresent the right (PaF at 46% when it ended up at 37%) but don't necessarily underrepresent PS (32% in both this batch and the final results).

In other words, PS looks like it could end up at 38% or so, but PSD should go significantly down, and the left parties should go up, as the count progresses.

[kaoras]

LMAO, RIR is going to enter in Oporto?

[Rikschard]

Strong possibility PAN gets more votes than CDS. Hope it happens.

[VPH]

RIR is doing surprisingly well in Porto for a party that I at first thought was a satirical outfit and ran a really weird campaign.

[Rikschard]

Assunção Cristas has just resigned from CDS leadership.

[crals]

Pundits and PSD members on TV seem to agree that Rio can/will stay on as PSD leader with this result

[Rikschard]

Some constituencies already have full results:

Beja

40.7 PS, 2 (+1)
22.8 CDU, 1 (=)
13.3 PSD (-1)
  9.1 BE
  2.3 CDS
  2.0 Chega
  2.0 PAN

Portalegre

44.7 PS, 2 (+1)
20.1 PSD (-1)
10.5 CDU
  8.1 BE
  3.8 CDS
  2.7 Chega
  1.7 PAN

Guarda

37.6 PS, 2 (+1)
34.4 PSD, 1 (-1)
  7.8 BE
  5.0 CDS
  3.0 PAN
  1.6 CDU
  1.5 Chega

[Rikschard]

Some more:

Évora

38.3 PS, 2 (+1)
18.9 CDU, 1
17.5 PSD (-1)
  9.0 BE
  3.4 CDS
  2.2 Chega
  2.0 PAN

Viseu

36.3 PSD, 4 (-1)
35.4 PS, 4 (+1)
  7.9 BE
  5.9 CDS (-1)
  2.3 CDU
  2.1 PAN
  1.0 Chega

Castelo Branco

40.9 PS, 3 (+1)
26.3 PSD, 1 (-1)
11.1 BE
  4.8 CDU
  3.7 CDS
  2.4 PAN
  1.3 Chega

[Antonio the Sixth]

Interestingly, the PS total has been going down even as corresponding 2015 total has been going up. That suggest early-reporting areas have trended left while late-reporting areas have trended right. Does that suggest an urban-rural divide, or a North-South one? I guess we'll have to wait for the maps to find out.

[crals]

The amusing results for the small island/municipality of Corvo in total votes:

PS 85
PPM 64
...
CDS 3
PSD 1

[Rikschard]

Yet some more full results:

Bragança

40.8 PSD, 2
36.5 PS, 1
  6.0 BE
  4.5 CDS
  2.1 CDU
  1.3 PAN
  0.8 Chega

Vila Real

39.0 PSD, 3
37.2 PS, 2
  6.1 BE
  4.5 CDS
  2.5 CDU
  1.7 PAN
  0.8 Chega

Viana do Castelo

34.8 PS, 3
33.8 PSD, 3
  8.5 BE
  6.2 CDS
  4.0 CDU
  2.4 PAN
  0.9 RIR
  0.7 Chega

Santarém

37.1 PS, 4
25.2 PSD, 3 (-1)
10.2 BE, 1
  7.6 CDU, 1
  4.7 CDS
  2.6 PAN
  2.0 Chega

Madeira

37.2 PSD, 3 (=)
33.4 PS, 3 (+1)
  6.1 CDS
  5.5 JPP
  5.2 BE (-1)
  2.1 CDU
  1.8 PAN

[crals]

IL above 2% in the district of Lisbon, Chega and Livre both around 2%... PAN got their seat with less than 2% back in 2015.

[Velasco]

The amusing results for the small island/municipality of Corvo in total votes:

PS 85
PPM 64
...
CDS 3
PSD 1

Costa or Monarchy. The people of Corvo makes binary choices

[Rikschard]

Coimbra

39.0 PS, 5 (+1)
26.6 PSD, 3 (-1)
11.2 BE, 1 (=)
  5.6 CDU
  3.5 CDS
  2.6 PAN

Faro

36.8 PS, 5 (+1)
22.3 PSD, 3 (=)
12.3 BE, 1 (=)
  7.1 CDU (-1)
  4.8 PAN
  3.8 CDU
  2.1 Chega

Braga

36.4 PS, 8
34.1 PSD, 8
  8.9 BE, 2
  4.1 CDS, 1
  4.0 CDU
  2.6 PAN

Açores

40.1 PS, 3 (=)
30.2 PSD, 2 (=)
  8.0 BE
  4.8 CDS
  2.7 PAN
  2.5 CDU

CDS were really lucky there with Braga. This could have been the first time ever that they would not elect in that district. Very close...

[Rikschard]

Aveiro

34.3 PS, 7
33.6 PSD, 6
10.0 BE, 2
  5.7 CDS, 1
  3.1 CDU
  3.0 PAN
  1.0 IL

Leiria

33.5 PSD, 5
31.1 PS, 4
  9.4 BE, 1
  5.3 CDS
  4.3 CDU
  2.9 PAN
  1.5 Chega

Lisboa, Porto and Setúbal are the only the constituencies where all the votes haven't been counted yet.

[bigic]

Somebody said RIR may win a seat in Porto? IL overtook it - they are at 1,49%, while RIR is at 1,16%. I think neither of them will win a seat in Porto.

[crals]

Somebody said RIR may win a seat in Porto? IL overtook it - they are at 1,49%, while RIR is at 1,16%. I think neither of them will win a seat in Porto.

RIR overperformed in the party leader's homeland, which is in the district of Porto and was counted early on.

[kaoras]

Somebody said RIR may win a seat in Porto? IL overtook it - they are at 1,49%, while RIR is at 1,16%. I think neither of them will win a seat in Porto.

RIR overperformed in the party leader's homeland, which is in the district of Porto and was counted early on.

Yep, it was at 3% when I looked at it

[Rikschard]

IL has just been confirmed as elected in Lisbon. Chega and Livre should follow soon.