OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Gass3268]

Just saw on MSNBC 3.5k Provo Votes in Franklin County!!!!!

Is it legit???

I hope they get counted soon, it's getting late.

I'm hearing its close to 8,000 and those probably won't get counted until tomorrow or later.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1027026526871740417

*facepalm*

[Gass3268]

NBC will not call the race tonight:

https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1027029287646494721

[Holmes]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1027026526871740417

*facepalm*

????

[ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn]

NBC will not call the race tonight:

https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1027029287646494721

It's pretty unlikely, but O'Connor could still eke out a win.

[BudgieForce]

Just saw on MSNBC 3.5k Provo Votes in Franklin County!!!!!

Is it legit???

I hope they get counted soon, it's getting late.

I'm hearing its close to 8,000 and those probably won't get counted until tomorrow or later.

So no one will call the race then?

[Chief Justice Keef]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1027026526871740417

*facepalm*

Gotta say, Trump's backhanded compliments are always funny.

"You were eating s--t before, but then I showed up, now you're a winner. Congrats!"

[pbrower2a]

Balderson claims to win despite a large number of provisional ballots. NBC News does not call it.

Balderson praises Donald Trump.

[Tartarus Sauce]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1027026526871740417

*facepalm*

Trump probably made him do worse than he would of otherwise. This will likely be a boon to Democrats as Trump is now convinced of the moronic notion that he made the difference and will campaign for vulnerable Republicans across the country.

[krazen1211]

Balderson claims to win despite a large number of provisional ballots. NBC News does not call it.

Balderson praises Donald Trump.

It's dangerous when candidates do not accept the outcome of the election.

[IceSpear]

The media is going to err on the side of caution, but it seems unlikely O'Connor could make up this margin. It could very well pull it into true heartbreaker status depending on how many provisionals there are though.

[Arkansas Yankee]

A couple more nail biting wins like that in significant right leaning districts and Republicans will win themselves into a minority position of the House.

While it would have been nice to flip it, this is another massive over performance by Democrats.

Maybe - maybe not.

If this election had been held in the spring, O’Conner would have won.

If PA 18 had been held today I believe Saccone would have won.

Estes will win by a good margin in Kansas in November.  

This socialist tilt by a wing of your party is not going to be helpful to you in attracting up scale suburban Republicans.  You really need to ditch the socialists.

There maybe a Democrat Atlas red wave, but I do not fear it as much as I did yesterday.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I am no sissy like Saccone, so I'm not afraid to concede, congrats to congressman-elect Balderson, and lets go win the house this fall!

[IceSpear]

A couple more nail biting wins like that in significant right leaning districts and Republicans will win themselves into a minority position of the House.

While it would have been nice to flip it, this is another massive over performance by Democrats.

Maybe - maybe not.

If this election had been held in the spring, O’Conner would have won.

If PA 18 had been held today I believe Saccone would have won.

Estes will win by a good margin in Kansas in November.  

This socialist tilt by a wing of your party is not going to be helpful to you in attracting up scale suburban Republicans.  You really need to ditch the socialists.

There maybe a Democrat Atlas red wave, but I do not fear it as much as I did yesterday.

Balderson did 9 points worse than Trump and 36 points worse than Tiberi. How is that reassuring to Republicans again?

[BudgieForce]

Balderson claims to win despite a large number of provisional ballots. NBC News does not call it.

Balderson praises Donald Trump.

It's dangerous when candidates do not accept the outcome of the election.

Yep, which is why we should wait for the provisional ballots.

[Adam Griffin]

This is enough to maybe go to the recount zone:

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1027025172656738307

Assuming this is correct, O'Connor will need about 71% of all these provisionals in order to win (roughly 6,000 of the 8,400) and considering a solid # will likely be thrown out, probably closer to if not over 100%.

[NOVA Green]

Just saw on MSNBC 3.5k Provo Votes in Franklin County!!!!!

Is it legit???

I hope they get counted soon, it's getting late.

I'm hearing its close to 8,000 and those probably won't get counted until tomorrow or later.

So if these numbers break 60-40 D (Not totally unreasonable considering that many of these votes are from Franklin County) we are looking at potentially 4.8k D- 3.2k R, which basically would turn this into recount territory, PUB ~~~ +100 Votes?

[InheritTheWind]

A couple more nail biting wins like that in significant right leaning districts and Republicans will win themselves into a minority position of the House.

While it would have been nice to flip it, this is another massive over performance by Democrats.

Maybe - maybe not.

If this election had been held in the spring, O’Conner would have won.

If PA 18 had been held today I believe Saccone would have won.

Estes will win by a good margin in Kansas in November.  

This socialist tilt by a wing of your party is not going to be helpful to you in attracting up scale suburban Republicans.  You really need to ditch the socialists.

There maybe a Democrat Atlas red wave, but I do not fear it as much as I did yesterday.

Balderson did 9 points worse than Trump and 36 points worse than Tiberi. How is that reassuring to Republicans again?

Because they’re grasping at any straw they can at this point.

[Virginiá]

Maybe - maybe not.

If this election had been held in the spring, O’Conner would have won.

If PA 18 had been held today I believe Saccone would have won.

Estes will win by a good margin in Kansas in November.  

This socialist tilt by a wing of your party is not going to be helpful to you in attracting up scale suburban Republicans.  You really need to ditch the socialists.

There maybe a Democrat Atlas red wave, but I do not fear it as much as I did yesterday.

See, this is what I just can't understand. If Danny had gotten 1 - 1.5 more point(s) or so, he'd have won, and yet in terms of actual votes, it's not that much different from losing. Would you still feel the same way if Danny won by the same amount Baldie did?

I just don't get how you are less worried. If Clinton was in the White House and a Republican almost won a D+7 district that Clinton won by 11 points, and months ago Rs won a D+11 district, I would be crippled by anxiety about the thrashing Republicans were about to deliver to my party in November. That you can't or won't see these signs for what they are is puzzling.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

[Zaybay]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house Senate!

House is already under raps, this is the new target now.

[BudgieForce]

Tomorrow's headlines will read "Too close to call". Republicans dont even get the moral victory of winning outright. So not only was this an embarrassing showing, but when the race is finally called, everyone will have already moved on.

[Holmes]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

What are you on about? People are just speculating how the provisionals will break, it's not like they're getting their pitchforks and are about to storm the OH SoS office.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

What are you on about? People are just speculating how the provisionals will break, it's not like they're getting their pitchforks and are about to storm the OH SoS office.

O'Connor refuses to concede but it's over.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Tomorrow's headlines will read "Too close to call". Republicans dont even get the moral victory of winning outright. So not only was this an embarrassing showing, but when the race is finally called, everyone will have already moved on.