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Source: Eagleton-Rutgers (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RChris Christie*Republican55%piePoll Date: 2013-09-09
DBarbara BuonoDemocratic35%Number Polled: 568
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-8%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Christie Well Ahead in New Jersey

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2013-10-23 @ 13:29:50

Question:
If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were [ROTATE ORDER: Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Barbara Buono], for whom would you vote?

About this Poll
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll was conducted by telephone September 3-9, 2013 with a scientifically selected random sample of 925 New Jersey adults. Of these, 814 were registered voters. Data are weighted to represent known parameters in the New Jersey registered voter population, using gender, age, race, and Hispanic ethnicity matching to US Census Bureau data. All results are reported with these weighted data. This telephone poll included 782 landline and 143 cell phone adults, all acquired through random digit dialing.

This release reports on 568 LIKELY VOTERS for the November 5, special US Gubernatorial election. To determine likely voters, we ask registered voters about attention to the election, the last time they voted, and intent to vote in this election. Potential voters are also given the chance to say they will not vote when asked who they support. Likely voters are those who score in roughly the top 55% of registered voters on the resulting scale. No additional weighting is applied to likely voters; the registered voter weight is used.

All surveys are subject to sampling error, which is the expected probable difference between interviewing everyone in a population versus a scientific sampling drawn from that population. The sampling error for 568 LIKELY voters is +/-4.1 percentage points, at a 95 percent confidence interval. Thus if 50 percent of New Jersey likely voters favored a particular position, one would be 95 percent sure that the true figure is between 45.9 and 54.1 percent (50 +/-4.1) if all New Jersey registered voters were interviewed, rather than just a sample.

The sampling error for 814 registered voters is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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