Sample size: 600 likely voters
Sample dates: July 19-21, 2008
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - McCain or Obama? (names rotated)


Barack Obama leads John McCain 83% to 13% among Democrats (30% of likely voters). McCain leads Obama 85% to 10% among Republicans (29% of likely voters). And Obama leads McCain 47% to 40% among independent voters (41% of likely voters).

McCain leads Obama 50% to 41% among men (48% of likely voters). In the June 13-17 survey, Obama was leading 48% to 47% among men. Among women (52% of likely voters), Obama leads 52% to 41%. In the June 13-17 survey, Obama was leading 54% to 32% among women.

Obama leads McCain 51% to 43% among voters age 18 to 49 (44% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (56% of likely voters),McCain leads 47% to 44%.

37% of likely voters say they would never vote for John McCain in the general election and 28% of likely voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the general election.

McCain's improvement in New Hampshire since the June 13-17 survey has not benefited Republicans in the races for US Senate and governor in the state.