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Source: Rasmussen (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic55%piePoll Date: 2008-10-13
RMcCainRepublican42%Number Polled: 700
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-3%Voter Type: Likely

Obama up 13 in NM

 By: Uwecwiz (D-WI) - 2008-10-15 @ 19:45:49

Barack Obama has opened his largest lead of the year over John McCain in New Mexico, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

Obama attracts 55% of the vote while McCain earns 42%. That’s a sizable improvement for the Democrat who led two weeks ago by a 49% to 44% margin.

Forty-nine percent (49%) believe Obama has run a generally positive campaign. Just 14% say the same of McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say this year’s campaign is more negative than most, but 51% say it’s about the same.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Voters in New Mexico, like voters across the nation, are generally unhappy with the bailout plan passed by Congress. Just 22% agree with the plan and 54% disagree with it. Only 36% believe it will help the economy while 26% believe it will hurt and another 23% say it will have no impact.

Forty-six percent (46%) say lower taxes spur economic growth while 31% believe leaving taxes unchanged would be better. At the same time, 52% say higher taxes on those who earn more than $250,000 a year would be good for the economy. That, too, is similar to the national average.

Overall, Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of New Mexico voters, McCain by 54%.

However, 46% of New Mexico voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while just 28% say the same about McCain. Twenty-seven percent (27%) have a Very Unfavorable opinion of Obama and 29% view McCain that negatively.

Polling released today also shows that Democrat Tom Udall leads Republican Steve Pearce by a wide margin in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race.

McCain and Obama are essentially even among white voters while the Democrat has a 17-point lead among Hispanic voters. Obama leads by 15 among women but trails by eight among men (full demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members).

Nationally, Obama has opened a stable lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in the Electoral College projections.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama currently has an 87.0% chance of winning New Mexico’s five Electoral College votes this fall. President Bush won the state by 6,000 votes out of nearly 750,000 cast in Election 2004. With release of this poll, New Mexico moves from “Leans Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

While President Bush carried New Mexico four years ago, just 27% of voters in the state now say he is doing a good or excellent job.

State polling data has been released this week from Delaware, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.

Currently, Obama has the edge in every state won by John Kerry in 2004. Of the states won by Bush that year, McCain is trailing in four, and five others are considered toss-ups. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 255-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 300-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.

View All New Mexico Polls - View This Poll for Clinton vs. McCain


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