Question:
Question Wording: If the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:



Likely Democratic
Primary Voters December 2007
November 2007
October 2007

Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners

Hillary Clinton
37%
37%
36%
38%
41%
43%

Barack Obama
23%
24%
25%
26%
20%
21%

John Edwards
18%
18%
14%
14%
11%
12%

Bill Richardson
8%
8%
6%
6%
8%
8%

Dennis Kucinich
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%

Joe Biden
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%

Chris Dodd
<1%
<1%
1%
2%
2%
2%

Mike Gravel
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%

Undecided
10%
8%
13%
9%
12%
8%


· Who’s supporting whom? Hillary Clinton is stronger among Democrats than independents likely to vote in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary. Among likely Democratic voters, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 16 percentage points and John Edwards by 24 percentage points. Among independent voters likely to vote in the Democratic primary, she edges Barack Obama by only 7 percentage points and leads John Edwards by 10 percentage points. Clinton continues to outpace her rivals among women. She receives the support of 42% of women who are likely to vote in New Hampshire’s Democratic Primary. Barack Obama and John Edwards are far behind Clinton among women with 20% and 18%, respectively. The contest between Clinton and Obama is much more competitive among men. Barack Obama attracts the support of 29% of men likely to vote in the Democratic primary next month compared with 27% for Hillary Clinton. John Edwards trails among men with 18%. Nearly one in five likely Democratic primary voters has never before voted in New Hampshire’s Democratic Primary. Obama edges his opponents among these voters. He receives the support of 35% of first time voters compared with 29% for Clinton and 21% for Edwards.


Poll Demographics

About this Poll
Nature of the Sample: 1,343 New Hampshire Voters
This survey was conducted from November 28th through December 2nd, 2007. 1,343 registered voters and New Hampshire residents who are likely to register in time to vote in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary were interviewed. The sample was selected in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New Hampshire and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. There are 604 potential Democratic presidential primary voters including 363 Democrats and 241 Democratic leaning independents. There are 505 potential Republican presidential primary voters including 354 Republicans and 151 Republican leaning independents. The results are statistically significant at ±4% for potential Democratic presidential primary voters and ±4.5% for potential Republican presidential primary voters. There are 454 likely Democratic presidential primary voters and 343 likely Republican presidential primary voters. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±5% and ±5.5%, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.