PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Dem Primary - SC ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
ClintonDemocratic44%pie
Poll Date: 2007-12-09
Number Polled: 470
Margin of Error: 5%
Voter Type: Likely
ObamaDemocratic40%
EdwardsDemocratic11%
OtherDemocratic3%
-UndecidedDemocratic2%

Clinton 4 points ahead of Obama

 By: Josh22 (R-NC) - 2007-12-11 @ 18:21:15

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

44% Clinton
11% Edwards
40% Obama
3% Other
2% Undecided

Poll Details
2,200 South Carolina adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 12/07/07 through 12/09/07. Of them, 1,877 were registered to vote. Of them, 470 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the 01/26/08 South Carolina Democratic Primary. After the 12/07 and 12/08 interviews, but before the 12/09 interviews, Oprah Winfrey appeared in South Carolina with Barack Obama. Caveat: Measuring African American turnout in South Carolina is a challenge in any election, but uniquely so in a Primary where an African American is a candidate for President. It is unknowable at this hour how many infrequent black voters, if any, Obama may turnout in a Primary, and, separately, how many infrequent young voters an Obama candidacy may attract in a Primary. In SurveyUSA's 11/12/07 release, blacks made-up 49% of the Democratic Primary electorate. In today's 12/11/07 release, blacks make-up 54% of the Primary electorate. These survey results should be evaluated with these caveats in mind.

Geography Surveyed: South Carolina
Data Collected: 12/07/2007 - 12/09/2007
Release Date: 12/11/2007 9:25 AM ET
Sponsors: WCSC-TV Charleston, WSPA-TV Greenville
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