PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Dem Primary Polls - CA ResultsPolls
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California Polls (Aggregate = Tossup for 3-poll average)

Candidate Avg. #Wins Delegates Poll Graph Election Details
Obama 47% 2 191pie
Election Date: 2008-02-05
Election Type: Primary
Eligable Voters: Modified Open
Delegates Total: 440
Delegates Awarded: 370
Apportion Method: P15%
Clinton 44% 1 179
Other 3% 0 0
-Undecided 6% 0 0

 Three-Poll Rolling Average
 Rolling Average Poll Graph

 Delegates Awarded Prior to this Contest: 137 (3.4%)

 Projected Delegate Allocation Prior to this Contest:
Prior Delegate Allocation Graph

DatePoll Source Spread C E O R OthUnd MOE Sample#C
2008-05-08Survey USAO +643%0%49%0%2%6%4%631 L2
2008-02-04ZogbyO +1336%0%49%0%6%9%3%895 L0
2008-02-04Survey USAC +1052%0%42%0%4%2%3%872 L0
2008-02-04ARGC +449%0%45%0%3%3%4%600 L0
2008-02-03Suffolk UniversityO +139%0%40%0%-1%22%4%700 L0
2008-02-03ZogbyO +640%0%46%0%5%9%3%967 L0
2008-02-03Survey USAC +1253%0%41%0%4%2%3%853 L0
2008-02-02ZogbyO +441%0%45%0%-1%15%3%1,141 L0
2008-02-02RasmussenO +144%0%45%0%6%5%4%798 L0
2008-02-02ARGC +847%0%39%0%6%8%4%600 L0
2008-02-01Field Research CorporationC +236%0%34%0%12%18%5%511 L0
2008-02-01Mason-DixonC +945%0%36%0%3%16%5%400 L0
2008-01-29RasmussenC +343%9%40%0%4%4%4%807 L0
2008-01-28Survey USAC +1149%9%38%0%2%2%3%888 L0
2008-01-27LA TimesC +1749%11%32%0%0%8%4%690 L0
2008-01-26GallupC +1851%10%33%0%0%6%5%517 L0
2008-01-20Public Policy Institute of CAC +1543%11%28%0%7%11%4%543 L0
2008-01-20Field Research CorporationC +1239%10%27%0%4%20%5%377 L0
2008-01-14DatamarC +1243%15%31%0%2%9%4%578 L0
2008-01-14RasmussenC +538%12%33%0%4%13%4%897 L0
2008-01-13CNN/TimeC +1647%10%31%0%6%6%5%384 L0
2008-01-13Survey USAC +1550%10%35%0%3%2%3%810 L0
2007-12-17Field Research CorporationC +1436%13%22%3%6%20%5%543 L0
2007-12-17Survey USAC +1949%14%30%0%4%3%4%741 L0
2007-12-04Public Policy Institute of CAC +2444%12%20%0%24%0%5%444 L0
2007-12-02Survey USAC +2650%16%24%0%7%3%4%735 L0
2007-11-29DatamarC +3854%9%16%5%7%9%3%819 L0
2007-11-04Survey USAC +2853%13%25%0%6%3%4%722 L0
2007-10-21Field Research CorporationC +2545%11%20%4%6%14%5%533 L0
2007-10-14Survey USAC +3757%13%20%0%6%4%4%782 L0
2007-10-08San Jose State UniversityC +2242%14%20%0%5%19%7%200 L0
2007-09-11Public Policy Institute of CAC +1841%14%23%3%6%13%5%455 L0
2007-09-09Survey USAC +2451%14%27%0%4%4%4%765 L2
2007-08-12Field Research CorporationC +3049%10%19%3%7%12%4%418 L0
2007-08-05Survey USAC +2451%14%27%0%5%3%4%764 L0
2007-08-02ARGC +1335%16%22%5%7%15%4%600 L0
2007-07-01Survey USAC +2549%14%24%0%10%3%4%763 L0
2007-06-25San Jose State UniversityC +2237%15%15%0%10%23%4%645 L1
2007-06-11DatamarC +1337%15%24%7%9%8%4%507 L0
2007-06-03Survey USAC +1846%14%28%0%8%4%4%720 L0
2007-05-08ARGC +937%15%28%3%6%11%4%600 L0
2007-05-06Survey USAC +2148%15%27%0%7%3%4%667 L0
2007-04-12Other SourceC +1938%0%19%0%43%0%5%400 L0
2007-04-01Other SourceC +1128%17%12%0%0%43%0%0 L0
2007-04-01Survey USAC +1743%17%26%4%5%5%4%817 L0
2007-03-31Field Research CorporationC +1341%13%28%4%5%9%5%417 L0
2007-03-30Public Policy Institute of CAC +1135%14%24%6%8%13%5%498 L0
2007-03-05Survey USAC +1344%10%31%4%5%6%4%782 L0
2007-02-13DatamarC +1034%16%24%7%10%9%3%865 L0
2007-01-17ARGC +1335%16%22%5%7%15%4%600 L0


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