PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Rep Primary - IA ResultsPolls
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Source: ARG (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RomneyRepublican22%pie
Poll Date: 2007-09-29
Number Polled: 600
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
GiulianiRepublican21%
Thompson, FRepublican16%
McCainRepublican11%
GingrichRepublican5%
OtherRepublican12%
-UndecidedRepublican13%

Romney Maintains IA Lead, but Giuliani Within MoE

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2007-09-30 @ 19:24:44

Question:
If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?


Iowa
Likely Republican Caucus Goers Dec 06 Jan 07 Feb 07 Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07

Brownback 1% 1% 2% - 1% 3% 3% 1% - 2%
Gilmore - - - - 1% 1% - ni ni ni
Gingrich 18% 16% 16% 7% 8% 8% 5% 4% 7% 5%
Giuliani 28% 27% 31% 29% 19% 23% 18% 22% 17% 21%
Hagel 6% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% ni ni ni
Huckabee 1% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 1% 14% 4%
Hunter - - - - - - 1% 2% 1% 2%
Keyes ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni 1%
McCain 26% 22% 23% 29% 26% 25% 13% 17% 5% 11%
Pataki - - - - - - - ni ni ni
Paul ni - - - - - 1% 1% 1% 2%
Romney 6% 11% 8% 10% 14% 16% 25% 21% 27% 22%
Tancredo ni 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% - 1%
F Thompson ni ni ni 12% 13% 6% 14% 13% 13% 16%
T Thompson - - - 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% ni ni
Undecided 14% 15% 17% 11% 13% 10% 14% 15% 15% 13%



Preference by party:



Iowa
Likely Republican Caucus Goers Republicans (77%) Independents (23%)

Brownback 2% -
Gingrich 5% 7%
Giuliani 22% 19%
Huckabee 5% 2%
Hunter 2% -
Keyes 1% -
McCain 9% 17%
Paul 2% 2%
Romney 22% 21%
Tancredo 1% -
F Thompson 15% 19%
Undecided 14% 13%

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus goers living in Iowa (463 Republicans and 137 no party (independent) voters).

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