Question:
2. If the vote for the Republican nominee for president were held today, would you vote for: (highly likely voters).





Age
Gender


Total
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Male
Female

(Base)
(418)
(14)
(46)
(189)
(169)
(190)
(228)


%
%
%
%
%
%
%


Romney
28.0
35.7
19.6
27.0
35.5
27.9
31.6


Huckabee
25.1
28.6
32.6
26.5
13.6
22.6
21.5


Thompson
10.8
.0
15.2
13.8
7.1
15.3
7.0


McCain
6.9
.0
2.2
7.4
14.8
11.1
8.3


Paul
5.5
21.4
2.2
4.2
4.1
5.3
3.9


Giuliani
5.1
.0
4.3
6.3
6.5
5.8
6.1


Tancredo
3.7
.0
6.5
3.7
1.8
2.6
3.5


Hunter
.5
.0
.0
.5
1.2
.5
.9


Undecided
14.4
14.3
17.4
10.6
15.4
8.9
17.1


1. If the vote for the Republican nominee for president were held today, would you vote for: (likely voters)





Age
Gender


Total
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Male
Female

(Base)
(835)
(27)
(96)
(345)
(367)
(395)
(440)


%
%
%
%
%
%
%


Huckabee
27.7
37.0
34.4
27.8
15.8
24.1
23.2

Romney
25.1
25.9
17.7
24.3
33.8
27.3
28.2

Thompson
10.1
.0
14.6
11.3
8.4
13.2
7.3

McCain
8.6
3.7
5.2
9.3
14.4
12.9
9.1

Paul
6.3
18.5
6.3
3.8
4.4
5.1
4.5

Giuliani
5.5
.0
5.2
6.7
6.3
4.8
7.3

Tancredo
3.0
.0
5.2
2.6
2.2
2.5
2.7

Hunter
1.0
.0
.0
1.4
1.9
1.0
1.8

Undecided
12.7
14.8
11.5
12.8
12.8
9.1
15.9

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
This InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll of the Iowa Republican caucus was conducted Dec. 16-17. The margin of error on the first question is less than 4%, and on the second question is about 5%. Both polls weighted for age and gender.

Note: The first question was asked of likely voters in the Republican caucus. The second question is the same as the first question, but the second question is asked of highly likely voters (based on a series of questions designed to pinpoint those most likely to participate in the caucuses.)