PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Rep Primary - TX ResultsPolls
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Source: IVR Polls (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RomneyRepublican30%pie
Poll Date: 2008-01-31
Number Polled: 734
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
McCainRepublican29%
HuckabeeRepublican20%
PaulRepublican8%
OtherRepublican3%
-UndecidedRepublican10%

Romney and McCain Close in Texas

 By: leip (I-NY) - 2008-02-01 @ 15:22:35

Romney 30% (11%)
McCain 29% (24%)
Huckabee 20% (26%)
Paul 8% (4%)
Keyes 3% (0%)
Undecided 10% (8%)

About this Poll
1573 past primary voters polled Jan 30-31, 2008
734 Republicans and 534 Democrats considered likely voters
R MoE 3.5% - D MoE 4.3%

This model is consistent with the model IVR has used on these tracking polls since May. If the Texas primary is meaningful at the presidential level, I will modify the model to reflect the higher expected turnout in future polls.

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