Question: I am going to read the names of some Republicans who are running for the Republican presidential nomination this year. For each, please tell me whether there would be a good chance, some chance or no chance that you would vote for that person in California’s presidential primary election. You may name as many or as few persons as you like as people you would be inclined to vote for. (NAMES AND TITLES OF CANDIDATES READ IN RANDOM ORDER) I am going to read back the names of the candidates you said you would have at least some chance of voting for. (NAMES OF CANDIDATES READ BACK) Of these persons, who would be your first choice if the California Republican primary election for President were being held today? (IF FIRST CHOICE GIVEN) Who would be your second choice?

Voter preferences in the California Republican primary for President (among likely voters in the CA Republican primary)
Without Thompson
With Thompson
McCain
23%
22%
Romney
21
18
Giuliani
13
11
Huckabee
12
11
Thompson
--
9
Paul
7
7
Other
1
1
Undecided
23
21
#


Thompson polled at 9% in the original survey which had McCain +4 on Romney. when Thompson votes were reallocated based upon second choices, McCain's lead narrowed to +2. Poll was conducted Jan 14-20 and has a MoE of 5.2% with 377 LV respondents.

About this Poll
The findings in this report are based on a random sample survey of 1,033 registered voters in California, including 377 voters deemed likely to vote in the Republican primary election. The overall sample was divided into two random subsamples on some of the survey questions. The maximum sampling error for results based on the overall sample of 377 likely GOP voters is +/- 5.2 percentage points.

Interviewing was conducted by telephone in English and Spanish January 14-20, 2008. Up to six attempts were made to reach and interview each randomly selected voter on different days and times of day during the interviewing period.