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Source: Siena Research Institute (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RTrumpRepublican46%piePoll Date: 2016-10-27
DClintonDemocratic42%Number Polled: 814
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 3%
-Other-7%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-5%

Trump with Slight Lead in Florida

 By: leip (--NY) on 2016-10-30 @ 08:52:44

Question:
If the 2016 election for President was being held today among the following candidates, who would you vote for: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Clinton 42%
Trump 46%
Johnson 4%
Stein 2%
Someone else (Vol) 1
Won't Vote 1%
Don't Know/No Opinion 5%

About this Poll
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College survey was conducted October 25-27, 2016 by telephone calls to 814 likely voters. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on both their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior applied to their specific voting history. This probability to vote was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party registration, age, region, gender and race. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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