Question: If the election for Missouri’s U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for Claire McCaskill, the Democrat, or Jim Talent, the Republican?

49% Claire McCaskill
43% Jim Talent
8% Undecided

Poll Demographics
Men 390 49%
Women 410 51%

Democrats 286 36%
Republicans 290 36%
Independents 224 28%

White 696 87%
Black 87 11%
Other 17 2%

18-29 137 17%
30-44 255 32%
45-59 263 33%
60+ 145 18%

About this PollThe Research 2000 Missouri Poll was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD from June 19 through June 22, 2006. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or region.