PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Election Polls - NH ResultsPolls
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Source: University of New Hampshire (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DShaheenDemocratic47%piePoll Date: 2008-10-31
RSununu*Republican42%Number Polled: 549
IGirardIndependent2%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-9%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Shaheen's (D) Lead in NH Back Down to 5%

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-11-02 @ 00:17:46

Question:
SEN1: "Lets turn to the November election for U.S. Senate from New Hampshire ... will you vote for John Sununu the Republican ... Jeanne Shaheen the
Democrat ... someone else ... or haven't you decided yet?" IF UNDECIDED: "Would you say you are leaning toward Republican John Sununu or Democrat
Jeanne Shaheen?"
Sununu Shaheen Other Undecided (N=)
October 24-26 38% 49% 2% 12% 687
October 25-27 36% 50% 2% 13% 641
October 26-28 40% 48% 1% 11% 652
October 27-29 42% 47% 1% 10% 611
October 28-30 41% 48% 1% 10% 606
October 29-31 42% 47% 2% 9% 542
Registered Democrat 7% 87% 0% 6% 163
Registered Undeclared 35% 47% 4% 14% 206
Registered Republican 84% 11% 1% 4% 170
Democrat 5% 87% 1% 7% 246
Independent 26% 47% 4% 22% 69
Republican 91% 3% 1% 4% 205
Core Republican 96% 0% 1% 2% 172
Swing Voter 45% 26% 5% 24% 123
Core Democrat 3% 91% 1% 5% 247
Male 52% 38% 2% 8% 268
Female 32% 57% 2% 9% 274
High school or less 38% 45% 4% 13% 101
Some college 40% 47% 2% 10% 105
College graduate 48% 43% 2% 7% 194
Post-graduate 37% 55% 1% 7% 137
18 to 34 16% 65% 0% 19% 44
35 to 49 44% 45% 3% 7% 151
50 to 64 42% 48% 2% 8% 207
65 and over 45% 45% 1% 9% 123
Less than $30K 40% 45% 5% 10% 46
$30K to $60K 42% 48% 0% 10% 82
$60K to $75K 38% 59% 0% 3% 52
$75K to $100K 47% 46% 2% 5% 64
$100K or more 47% 45% 2% 7% 136
Attend services 1 or more/week 52% 39% 3% 7% 140
1-2 times a month 47% 47% 0% 6% 77
Less often 41% 47% 1% 10% 159
Never 30% 56% 3% 11% 151
10 yrs or less in NH 39% 48% 1% 11% 97
11 to 20 years 42% 48% 2% 8% 94
More than 20 years 42% 48% 2% 9% 341
North Country 47% 46% 0% 7% 44
Central / Lakes 31% 62% 2% 5% 93
Connecticut Valley 38% 49% 3% 10% 80
Mass Border 47% 39% 2% 12% 160
Seacoast 33% 59% 0% 8% 79
Manchester Area 52% 36% 3% 8% 86
First Cong. Dist 43% 47% 2% 8% 268
Second Cong. Dist 40% 48% 2% 10% 275

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
These findings are based on the 2008 WMUR / UNH New Hampshire Tracking Poll, conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center. This survey is sponsored by WMUR-TV Manchester and the University of New Hampshire.* Five
hundred forty-nine (549) likely New Hampshire voters were interviewed between October 29 and October 31, 2008. The
potential sampling error for the statewide survey is +/-4.2%.

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