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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RPat ToomeyRepublican48%piePoll Date: 2010-04-12
DArlen Specter*Democratic38%Number Polled: 700
-Other-3%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-11%Voter Type: Registered

  * = Incumbent

Specter trails in the general by way out in front in the primary

 By: Olawakandi (D-CA) on 2010-04-14 @ 15:12:38

Question: If the general election for United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for Pat Toomey, the Republican, or Arlen Specter, the Democrat? (ROTATE NAMES)
3/10 10/09
1. Toomey 336 48% 42% 41% +7
2. Specter 267 38% 36% 42% -4
3. None/other 22 03% 04% 04% -1
4. Undecided 69 10% 18% 12% -2
5. Refuse 7 01% 00% 00% +1

Question: Now, If the Democratic primary election for United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for Arlen Specter or Joe Sestak? (ROTATE NAMES)
[N=400]
10/09
1. Specter 169 42% 44% -2
2. Sestak 111 28% 16% +12
3. None/other 11 03% 18% -15
4. Undecided 104 26% 22% +4
5. Refuse 5 01%

About this Poll
This statewide poll was conducted April 7-12 with 700 likely general election voters for Premium Access Members and general distribution purposes. Only voters with prior vote history in general elections 2008, 2007, 2006 and 2005 were contacted (as well as new registrants since January 2008), with a special emphasis on G07, G06 and G05 to reflect likely turnout in a non-presidential general election. Most poll respondents also have past primary vote history. In addition, a “vote intensity screen” was used to filter out voters unlikely to vote in the upcoming Democratic and Republican Primary Elections on Tuesday, May 18th for both governor and U.S. Senate. Interviews are randomly selected and conducted via telephone from a statewide voter file using our professionally-trained survey research staff. Interviews are closely monitored to ensure a representative sample is achieved based on geography, party affiliation, gender, age and other demographics; results are sometimes statistically weighted. The margin of error for a sample size of 700 is +/-3.7% at the 95% confidence level, but 6.1% for the sub sample of 254 Republicans and 4.9% for the sub sample of 400 Democrats (which includes an oversample). The top line results are included

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