PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Election Polls - CA ResultsPolls
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Source: Research 2000 (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBarbara L. Boxer*Democratic47%piePoll Date: 2010-03-10
RThomas J. CampbellRepublican43%Number Polled: 600
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-10%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

CA Dems defeat GOP

 By: Olawakandi (D-CA) on 2010-03-11 @ 17:59:42

Question:
QUESTION: If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Barbara Boxer, the Democrat, and Tom Campbell, the Republican?
BARBARA BOXER TOM CAMPBELL UNDECIDED
ALL 47 43 10
MEN 42 49 9
WOMEN 52 37 11
DEMOCRATS 80 11 9
REPUBLICANS 7 85 8
INDEPENDENTS 43 45 12
WHITE 41 51 8
HISPANIC 60 29 11
BLACK 75 7 18
ASIAN 47 40 13
18-29 51 38 11
30-44 49 40 11
45-59 48 46 6
60+ 38 48 14
NORTHERN 43 45 12
CENTRAL 39 55 6
LA COUNTY 58 28 14
BAY 63 24 13
SOUTHERN 35 57 8

QUESTION: If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Barbara Boxer, the Democrat, and Carly Fiorina, the Republican?
BARBARA BOXER CARLY FIORINA UNDECIDED
ALL 49 40 11
MEN 44 46 10
WOMEN 54 34 12
DEMOCRATS 83 9 8
REPUBLICANS 7 80 13
INDEPENDENTS 46 41 13
WHITE 43 48 9
HISPANIC 62 27 11
BLACK 75 5 20
ASIAN 47 37 16
18-29 53 35 12
30-44 51 37 12
45-59 50 43 7
60+ 40 46 14
NORTHERN 45 42 13
CENTRAL 40 52 8
LA COUNTY 61 25 14
BAY 65 20 15
SOUTHERN 37 56 7

QUESTION: If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Barbara Boxer, the Democrat, and Chuck DeVore, the Republican?
BARBARA BOXER CHUCK DEVORE UNDECIDED
ALL 49 39 12
MEN 43 45 12
WOMEN 55 33 12
DEMOCRATS 83 8 9
REPUBLICANS 7 79 14
INDEPENDENTS 46 41 13
WHITE 43 47 10
HISPANIC 62 26 12
BLACK 75 4 21
ASIAN 48 36 16
18-29 54 34 12
30-44 51 36 13
45-59 50 42 8
60+ 39 45 16
NORTHERN 46 42 12
CENTRAL 40 51 9
LA COUNTY 61 23 16
BAY 65 19 16
SOUTHERN 37 55 8

Poll Demographics
Demographics
MEN 287 48%
WOMEN 313 52%
DEMOCRATS 248 41%
REPUBLICANS 184 31%
INDEPENDENTS/OTHER 168 28%
WHITE 409 68%
HISPANIC 100 17%
BLACK 49 8%
ASIAN 29 5%
18-29 108 15%
30-44 188 33%
45-59 191 35%
60+ 113 17%
NORTHERN 31 5%
CENTRAL 110 18%
LA COUNTY 149 25%
BAY 113 19%
SOUTHERN 197 33%
Republican MEN 211 53%
Republican WOMEN 189 47%

About this Poll
The Research 2000 California Poll was conducted from March 8 through March 10, 2010. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

NOTE: There was an over sample conducted among Republican primary voters totaling 400. The margin of error is 5%.
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