PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Election Polls - CO ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Source: Ipsos (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RKen BuckRepublican49%piePoll Date: 2010-08-22
DMichael Bennet*Democratic40%Number Polled: 453
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 5%
-Undecided-10%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Believe it or not, Buck almost leads by double-digits

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2010-08-25 @ 13:59:14

Question:

Poll Demographics

About this Poll

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted August 20-22, 2010 on behalf of Reuters. Interviews were conducted by
telephone with live interviewers. For the survey, a representative, randomly selected sample of exactly 601 adults aged 18 and
older across Colorado who are registered voters was interviewed by Ipsos. With a sample of this size, results are considered
accurate within 4.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire population of registered
voters in Colorado been polled. Likely voters (reported on for ballot questions only) are defined as individuals currently
registered to vote, who voted in the 2008 Presidential election, are a 7-10 on a 10-point likelihood to vote scale, and are
interested in following news about the campaign ‘a great deal’ or ‘quite a bit.’ Individuals who did not vote in the 2008
Presidential election qualify as likely voters if they are registered to vote, are an 8-10 on a 10-point likelihood to vote scale, and
are interested in following news about the campaign ‘a great deal’ or ‘quite a bit.’ Out of our sample of 600 registered voters,
453 are likely voters. With a sample of this size, results are considered accurate within ±4.6 percentage points, 19 times out of
20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled.

View All Colorado Polls

Poll Technical Comments

 By: superpredictor (D-CO) - 2010-08-26 @ 12:37:18

This is a highly suspect poll. The RVs break down like this 48% R, 40% D, and 9% unaffiliated. The actual CO RVs break down 35% R, 33% D, and 30%, unaff. Also, in 2008, 40% of voters were unaff. Bennet leads almost 2-1 among unaffiliateds in this poll. Therefore, when you adjust according to voter registration, Buck leads 38-36. However, if Bennet holds his lead among independents, he should win comfortably.preciction Map

Login to Post Comments

Forum Thread for this Poll

Back to 2010 Senatorial Polls Home - Polls Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved