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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DAlison Lundergan GrimesDemocratic43%piePoll Date: 2014-05-16
RMitch McConnell*Republican42%Number Polled: 1,475
-Other-8%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-7%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Grimes and McConnell in a Dead Heat

 By: Flo (D-WY) on 2014-05-17 @ 05:17:42

Question:
If the November election for United States Senator from Kentucky were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for? Republican Mitch McConnell? Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes? Independent Ed Marksberry? Or Libertarian David Patterson?

Marksberry 4%
Patterson 4%

About this Poll
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 2,000 state of KY adults 05/14/14 through 05/16/14. Of the adults, 1,782 were registered to vote in the state of Kentucky. Of the registered, 747 were registered as Republicans, and of them, 605 were determined by SurveUSA to be likely to vote in the 5/20/14 Republican Primary, 1,475 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device. This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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