PredictionsEndorse2014 Senatorial Election Polls - KY ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RMitch McConnell*Republican47%piePoll Date: 2014-07-23
DAlison Lundergan GrimesDemocratic45%Number Polled: 604
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-8%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Close Contest in Kentucky

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2014-07-29 @ 14:51:22

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were ... Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes ... who would you vote for?

What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?
McConnell 41%
Lundergan Grimes 39%
Patterson 7%
Undecided 13%

About this Poll
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of KY adults 07/18/14 through 07/23/14. Of the adults, 714 were registered to vote in the state of Kentucky. Of the registered, 604 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 election for U.S. Senate. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy.

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