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Source: Marist College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RMitch McConnell*Republican50%piePoll Date: 2014-10-30
DAlison Lundergan GrimesDemocratic41%Number Polled: 556
LDavid PattersonLibertarian5%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-3%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

McConnell with Lead in Kentucky

 By: leip (--NY) on 2014-11-02 @ 10:49:57

Question:

About this Poll
This survey of 1,081 adults was conducted October 27th through October 30th, 2014 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Kentucky were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Kentucky from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±3.0 percentage points. There are 894 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points. There are 556 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model. This model determines the likelihood respondents will vote in the November 2014 election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.2 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

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