PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Election Polls - CA ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DKamala Harris^Democratic44%piePoll Date: 2016-09-11
DLoretta SanchezDemocratic27%Number Polled: 712
RNoneRepublican0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-29%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Harris Leads by Wide Margin in CA Senate Race

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-10-01 @ 09:43:41

Question:
In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez?

About this Poll
SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of California adults 09/08/16 through 09/11/16. Of the adults, 782 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 678 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. Of registered voters, 4% tell SurveyUSA they almost always vote in a Presidential election but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. An offsetting 6% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. 87% of the interviews for this survey were completed before Clinton buckled at Ground Zero the morning of 09/11/16 and before doctors offered pneumonia as an explanation. The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (53% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (47% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Polling ballot measures and citizen initiatives is an inexact science. In general, having nothing to do with California specifically and having nothing to do with 2016 uniquely, opposition to a ballot measure increases as Election Day approaches. Rarely does support for a ballot measure increase over time. It is likely that opposition to Propositions 56, 62, 63 and 64 will increase once early voting begins in one month, on 10/10/16. This may alter the calculus on recreational marijuana Proposition 64, which today has the most fragile advantage of those measures tested.

View All California Polls


Login to Post Comments

Forum Thread for this Poll

Back to 2016 Senatorial Polls Home - Polls Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved