PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Election Polls - MN (Special) ResultsPolls
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Source: Suffolk University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DTina Smith^Democratic-F.L.44%piePoll Date: 2018-08-20
RKarin HousleyRepublican37%Number Polled: 500
-Other-2%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-18%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Smith Leads Housley in Special Election

 By: mds32 (R-PA) on 2018-08-22 @ 12:41:42

If the special election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the candidates were: Republican Karin Housley, Democratic-Farmer-Labor Tina Smith, Legal Marijuana Now Party Sarah Wellington, and Unaffiliated Jerry Trooien, for whom would you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?
(N=500) n %
Vote/Lean Housley – Republican --------------------------- 183 36.60
Vote/Lean Smith – Democratic-Farmer-Labor ----------- 219 43.80
Vote/Lean Wellington – Legal Marijuana Now ------------- 8 1.60
Vote/Lean Trooien – Unaffiliated ------------------------------ 1 0.20
Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 89 17.80

About this Poll
This survey of 500 likely Minnesota general-election voters was conducted between August 17 and August 20, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2018 general election for governor and US Senate. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 87 Minnesota counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows.

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