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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBob Casey*Democratic53%piePoll Date: 2018-11-01
RLou Barletta Republican38%Number Polled: 421
-Other-5%Margin of Error: 6%
-Undecided-4%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Casey +15

 By: IceSpear (D-PA) on 2018-11-02 @ 16:46:25

Question:
Now, if the 2018 United States Senate election was being held today and the race was between Democrat Bob Casey Jr. and Republican Lou Barletta would you vote for? (OPTIONS ROTATED)
1. Bob Casey Jr. (GO TO Q15).......................53%
2. Lou Barletta (GO TO Q15)........................38%
3. Neither/Other (Volunteered) (GO TO Q15)...... 5%
4. Not Sure (Volunteered)..............................4%

About this Poll
The following report contains the results of a telephone survey of 421 likely voters in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania between October 28 and November 1, 2018. Respondents were interviewed in English on both landlines (194) and cell phones (227). With a randomly selected sample of respondents the margin of error for the surveys is +/- 5.5% at a 95% level of confidence. Margins of error for questions with smaller sample size will be larger. In addition to sampling error, one should consider that question wording and other fielding issues can introduce error or bias into survey results. The data has been weighted to gender and region to reflect voter population parameters in Pennsylvania. The calculation of sampling error takes into account design effects due to the weighting identified above. In order to reach a representative sample of likely voters both land lines and cell phones were called up to 3 times. The response rate for this survey as calculated using the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) RRII formula is approximately 7%. The sampling frame for the study is from the registered voters files of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania with individuals who voted in at least 2 of the last 4 general elections or who had voted in either the 2018 primary elections or 2017 general election or if they were a new registrant since the 2016 Presidential Election. Due to rounding the totals provided in the frequency report may not total 100%.

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