PredictionsEndorse2020 Senatorial Election Polls - GA (Special) ResultsPolls
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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RDoug CollinsRepublican21%piePoll Date: 2020-03-04
IKelly Loeffler*Independent19%Number Polled: 1,117
DMatt LiebermanDemocratic11%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-31%Voter Type: Likely

Georgia US Senate (UGA): Collins (R) 21%, Loeffler (R-Inc) 19%, Lieberman (D) 11%

 By: jtsmd2 (D-AL) on 2020-03-15 @ 21:17:07

Question:
There will also be a special U.S. Senate election on the ballot this November to fill the vacancy created when Senator Isakson resigned. In this race candidates from all parties will run against one another. I'm going to read you a list of candidates who have announced they are running for this seat. Please tell me if this election were being held TODAY, for whom would you vote?

About this Poll
The SPIA Poll was conducted Feb. 24-March 2, 2020 and included a total of 1,117 likely general election voters in Georgia. Likely voters were respondents who had voted in the 2016 and/or the 2018general election, who indicated they were currently registered to vote in Georgia, and were definitely or probably going to vote in the 2020 November election. The survey was administered by the School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center at the University of Georgia. Interviews were conducted in English. A dual-frame statewide random sample consisting of approximately 65% cell phone numbers and 35% landline numbers was obtained through L2(L2 is a sampling vendor that maintains a database constructed from state voter registration lists. Through commercial sources, phone numbers have been appended to the individual records (registrants) that make up these lists). The survey results were weighted using iterative proportional raking in order to ensure the sample is representative of the 2020 general electorate in terms of race, sex, age, and education. The calculated margin of error for the total sample is +/-2.9points at the 95% confidence level. This would mean that if 50% of respondents indicate a topline view on an issue, we can be 95% confident that the population’s view on that issue is somewhere between 52.9% and 47.1%.

Addendum:
Georgia state law concerning a US Senate special election mandates a "jungle primary" occur, i.e. all candidates are on the ballot, and if no candidate obtains a majority of the vote, the top two finishers will advance to a run-off regardless of their party affiliation.

Not shown: 14.1% of responders were split between the other remaining Democratic candidates.

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