Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-04-27 Version:1

Prediction Map

JmelDem Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

JmelDem Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	10
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	10
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+7	+12	-1	0	-1	12	1	13	+11
Rep	+1	0	+1	-6	-7	-13	8	1	9	-12
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	28	16

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	29/33	12/33	41/66	62.1%		2	71	360	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	16/36	44/72	61.1%		1	194	221	T	312
2004 President	11/56	9/56	20/112	17.9%		22	4	1990		1,994
Aggregate Predictions	68/125	37/125	105/250	42.0%

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