PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - Cylon Candidate (D-LA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:14

Prediction Map
Cylon Candidate MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Cylon Candidate MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+5+600013114+6
Rep000-1-5-612416-6
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
583622
piepiepie

Comments
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Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 1

I'm predicting Arnold will narrowly beat Angelides. The primary fight turned off a lot of Democrats and Schwarzenegger is moving back to the center.

Democratic governers in Oregon and Michigan aren't looking like winners right now. Still, they lean Democratic, so it will be close.

Maryland, Minnisota, and Rhode Island will likely eject their govs. Democrats will probably make pick ups in Arkansas and Massachusetts due to the strength of the local parties. Colorado, Illinois, and Iowa will be close, but I'll give the Dems the benifit of the doubt.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 2 0 99T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 18/36 49/72 68.1% pie 1 0 56T
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 4 0 47T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 3 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 0 51T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 22/37 57/74 77.0% pie 3 12 100T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 4 6 29T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 10 56T
P 2008 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 12 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 7 38 172T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 9/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 4 2 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 25/33 58/66 87.9% pie 18 0 10T
P 2006 Governor 36/36 22/36 58/72 80.6% pie 14 1 44T
Aggregate Predictions 395/420 273/420 668/840 79.5% pie


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