Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:14

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	16
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+5	+6	0	0	0	13	1	14	+6
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-5	-6	12	4	16	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
58	36	22

Comments
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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

I'm predicting Arnold will narrowly beat Angelides. The primary fight turned off a lot of Democrats and Schwarzenegger is moving back to the center.

Democratic governers in Oregon and Michigan aren't looking like winners right now. Still, they lean Democratic, so it will be close.

Maryland, Minnisota, and Rhode Island will likely eject their govs. Democrats will probably make pick ups in Arkansas and Massachusetts due to the strength of the local parties. Colorado, Illinois, and Iowa will be close, but I'll give the Dems the benifit of the doubt.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	34/36	22/36	56/72	77.8%	2	0	99	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	18/36	49/72	68.1%	1	0	56	T	300
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	4	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	20/33	50/66	75.8%	3	0	111	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	3	0	51	T	228
2010 Senate	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%	3	12	100	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%	4	6	29	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	3	10	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%	12	1	357	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	7	38	172	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%	3	1	27	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	2	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	25/33	58/66	87.9%	18	0	10	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	22/36	58/72	80.6%	14	1	44	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	395/420	273/420	668/840	79.5%

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