Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-05-10 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	11
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	8
Ind	0
Tos	13
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+7	+11	0	0	0	13	1	14	+11
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-7	-11	10	1	11	-11
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	31	16

Comments

Steelers craze is over and Rendell is back in commmand. Smooth sailing for Dems!! in KS, NM, AZ, WY, and OK. Still seeing 11 net pickups for the Dems. Come one GOP, you can take one seat from the Dems?

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

The numbers just speak for themselves. The GOP has been holding on the seats in the blue states for too long. (MN,NY,MA,MD, and CA) Also, Dems are making huge gains in AR and CO. Frank Murkowski and Bob Taft are the most unpopular govs and the nation and Kenny Guinn broke a promise and tried to raise taxes. I also like Jim Davis in FL. The only real chance for GOP gain is in Iowa. I like the dems to pick up 11 seats.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	29/37	9/37	38/74	51.4%	1	71	408	T	456
2010 Governor	29/37	17/37	46/74	62.2%	1	71	204	T	312
2008 President	53/56	31/56	84/112	75.0%	2	21	382	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	38/52	0/52	38/104	36.5%	1	-	116	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	11/33	43/66	65.2%	3	77	328	T	465
2006 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	2	181	175	T	312
2004 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%	7	18	1441	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	260/307	112/307	372/614	60.6%

Links

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