Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction States Won

		25 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	2
Rep	34
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	2
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	17
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-11	-1	-12	2	0	2	-12
Rep	+11	+1	+12	0	0	0	13	9	22	+12
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
23	18	5

Comments

If everything goes right...

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

3: 2006-09-29 @ 17:13:53 2: 2006-07-30 @ 15:13:49 1: 2006-07-29 @ 13:24:53 View Version

Member Comments

 By: Cuivienen (I-NJ) - 2006-09-29 @ 20:47:52

"If everything goes right," the Republicans could still do no better than Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin (while losing New York and Massachusetts).

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 By: tancredo08 (R-NY) - 2006-09-30 @ 08:25:04

Ok, maybe NY is a stretch, but there is no way MA is a sure thing for the Democrats

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-09-30 @ 10:41:29

But it certainly isn't favoring the GOP either at this time.

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 By: Ernest (D-SC) - 2006-09-30 @ 13:56:07

There is zero chance for the GOP in Massachusetts this year. Both Rassmunsen's and SUSA's latest polls have Patrick with an over 30 point lead. Granted, some of that is post-primary bounce, but it's just too big a gap to make up in the time remaining, even with the most optomistic of projections

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-09-30 @ 15:06:34

BY FAR, THE WORST MAP I HAVE EVER SEEN.

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-09-30 @ 15:47:30

The only state that the Republicans have better than 50% chance of winning is IA, they aren't going to come close to most of the other states you have them winnig in.

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 By: Deano963 (D-OH) - 2006-10-01 @ 18:48:09

I agree with db. This map is by far the worst I have ever seen. Is this map meant as a joke by any chance?

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 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-10-07 @ 14:39:36

Is this the map for 1994?

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 14:59:10

I think the mapmaker is optimistic, just like Dems are in the senate races, but the best case scenario may be unlikely for each of the two parties.

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:06:11

Olawakandi Why are you taking this map seriously? I don't care if the US is hit with a global nuclear war, this will never happen. What you think is Democratic optimism in the Senate is reality.

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:09:20

Not really, because on MO, TN, NJ, and VA polls dispute one another. If all of them agree then I think it would be fine but they don't. MD, Gallup and Rasmussen disagrees. And all are within the margin of error. Last Edit: 2006-10-07 @ 15:09:40

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:13:23

What are you talking about? You do realize that this a gubernatorial map? Last Edit: 2006-10-07 @ 15:14:59

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:16:21

You was talking about the senate optimism, I was commenting on that, the likely scenario is picking up seats, but picking up the senate isn't certain.

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:17:58

No, I wasn't. I was talking about the gubernatorial races.

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:21:08

"What you think is Democratic optimism in the Senate is reality".

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:23:45

Oh, I thought you were talking about the first part of my comment.

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 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:26:43

I love to watch Democrats bicker with each other ;-)

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-07 @ 15:43:02

We must remember that our maps are possible scenarios, it isn't a definate outcomes. And the definate outcome is Nov6th polls and Nov 7th election day. Our maps are going to be all over the place until then. Because every person see the election differently.

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 By: polpro (R-NV) - 2006-10-07 @ 20:04:43

Maps that are overly partisan and silly don't deserve commentary.

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 By: CrabRangoon (D-QC) - 2006-10-08 @ 04:12:23

This map is so ridiculous it's hilarious.

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 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-10-08 @ 04:16:43

It is only plausible from a 1994 stance.

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 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-10-18 @ 21:54:42

Maybe you should do a little updating. It looks like its been a while since you saw a decent poll.

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-19 @ 11:09:35

No, I think this mapmaker intentionally did this, because it was done on 09/29 and that was when all the candidates were still leading back then. I guess eventhough the republicans are losing, he believes that the republicans could win, but it is wishful thinking on the mapmaker's part. Perhaps he should of picked the GOP is some of the tightest races like OR, ME, MI and IA and it wouldn't be such of a surprise. Last Edit: 2006-10-19 @ 11:12:59

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 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-19 @ 15:18:59

The mapmaker's an idiot. He did this map as a joke.

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 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-10-19 @ 17:22:07

Maps of this person's are jokes.

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