Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-07-11 Version:1

Prediction Map

Lawrence Watson Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Lawrence Watson Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	13
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+2	+4	-1	0	-1	12	1	13	+3
Rep	+1	0	+1	-2	-2	-4	12	6	18	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
42	31	11

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 Governor	31/36	11/36	42/72	58.3%		1	119	244	T	312
2004 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%		2	82	706	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	83/92	44/92	127/184	69.0%

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