Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-07-20 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	3
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	4	2	6	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	3	0	3	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

I know even less of this.
However I think Christine Gregoire will win more comfortably in Washington.
& a loss in Missouri, & maybe Vermont due to flow down from a disasterous day for the Republicans all round.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-08-29 @ 09:15:32
Not Vermont. State-level instincts are very different. Wyoming has a Democratic governor who is immensely popular.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%	2	147	480	T	684
2016 President
2012 President	53/56	37/56	90/112	80.4%	1	150	489	T	760
2010 Senate	36/37	23/37	59/74	79.7%	5	1	63	T	456
2008 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%	45	0	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	14/33	47/66	71.2%	5	1	204	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	37/52	21/52	58/104	55.8%	20	-	52	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%	1	1	65	T	465
2004 President	54/56	35/56	89/112	79.5%	9	3	283	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	365/390	238/390	603/780	77.3%

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