PredictionsEndorse2008 Gubernatorial Predictions - demboy73 (D-AUS) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-07-20 Version:1

Prediction Map
demboy73 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
demboy73 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep3
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep3
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2000426+2
Rep000-1-1-2303-2
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I know even less of this.
However I think Christine Gregoire will win more comfortably in Washington.
& a loss in Missouri, & maybe Vermont due to flow down from a disasterous day for the Republicans all round.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-08-29 @ 09:15:32
Not Vermont. State-level instincts are very different. Wyoming has a Democratic governor who is immensely popular.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 584
P 2016 President
P 2012 President 53/56 37/56 90/112 80.4% pie 1 150 489T760
P 2010 Senate 36/37 23/37 59/74 79.7% pie 5 1 63T456
P 2008 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 45 0 6T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 14/33 47/66 71.2% pie 5 1 204T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 37/52 21/52 58/104 55.8% pie 20 - 52T271
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 1 1 65T465
P 2004 President 54/56 35/56 89/112 79.5% pie 9 3 283T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 312/334 203/334 515/668 77.1% pie


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