PredictionsEndorse2008 Gubernatorial Predictions - BushCountry (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:43

Prediction Map
BushCountry MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BushCountry MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem5
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000426+1
Rep0000-1-1404-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
17116
piepiepie

Analysis

New Hamsphire: Lynch win again easily.

Vermont: The only question is whether or not Douglas wins over 50%. I think he will.

Delaware: Markell has this one in the bag. The Republican isn't even campaigning.

West Virginia: Manchin is heading for a Mountain sized win here.

North Carolina: Bev Purdue is surging at the absolute wire and this may be enough to put her ahead by a hair.

Indiana: Mitch Daniels was in trouble, but his opponent is weak, and he's cruising now.

Missouri: Nixon...he's the one.

North Dakota: This one will have the sort of the lopsided results that one sees in North Korea. But this time it's because John Hoeven is just that popular.

Utah: Ditto Utah. Jon Huntsman is going to have a big landslide.

Montana: Brian Schweitzer is popular and should be re-elected.

Washington: This is the main event. The rematch between Dino Rossi and Christine Gregoire. It's been close all the way, but Gregoire has always lead, and Obama's coattails, if nothing else, should propel her to victory as secondtime.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 46 4 42T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 45 6 226T
P 2016 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 63 1 17T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 24/34 56/68 82.4% pie 55 1 1
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 25 1 25T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 26/36 59/72 81.9% pie 34 1 42T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 31 0 123T
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 157 0 401T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 66 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 21 0 5T
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 18/52 60/104 57.7% pie 105 - 41T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 0 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 93 2 34T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 94 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 1 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 183 1 115T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 101 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 43 1 86T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 8 2 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 94 1 46T
P 2006 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 103 1 22T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 140 2 49T
Aggregate Predictions 646/705 459/705 1105/1410 78.4% pie


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