Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-09-12 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	5
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	3
Rep	4
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	4	1	5	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	3	1	4	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
10	8	2

Analysis

I have a cold and was bored so I figured I'd update my Governor's prediction. This time based on a little research rather than complete ignorance like the last one.

A lot of toss-ups there.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	49/56	25/56	74/112	66.1%	1	294	473	T	678
2012 President	46/56	31/56	77/112	68.8%	1	153	699	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	9/33	33/66	50.0%	1	4	319	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%	1	4	131	T	228
2008 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%	8	11	537	T	1,505
2008 Senate	26/33	8/33	34/66	51.5%	1	53	390	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	2/11	10/22	45.5%	2	53	257	T	264
2004 President	53/56	29/56	82/112	73.2%	11	5	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	264/312	140/312	404/624	64.7%

Links

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