Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-08 Version:6

Prediction Map

mdcal06 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mdcal06 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	12
Rep	25
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	5
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	14
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+6	+6	-3	-10	-13	4	2	6	-7
Rep	+3	+10	+13	0	-6	-6	6	6	12	+7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	34	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

This is contingent upon:

1. Perry wins Texas GOP primary.
2. Salazar doesn't enter Colorado race.
3. Cuomo is the Dem nominee in New York.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		7	26	63	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	22/37	56/74	75.7%		6	25	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	1	1	T	103
2008 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%		24	4	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		10	1	117	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		6	4	183	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%		16	-	28	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	23/49	63/98	64.3%		20	-	7	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	34	1	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	249/280	160/280	409/560	73.0%

User Info

mdcal06 Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

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