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PredictionsEndorse2010 Gubernatorial Predictions - albaleman (D-MN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-16 Version:46

Prediction Map
albaleman MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
albaleman MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+7+7-3-9-12437-5
Rep+3+9+120-7-76511+5
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:14:31 prediction Map
Alaska:

Sean Parnell (R)* 57%

Ethan Berkowitz (D) 42%

All Others 1%

Last Edit: 2010-10-16 @ 19:14:42
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:14:49 prediction Map
Hawaii:

Neil Abercrombie (D) 52%

Duke Aiona (R)^ 48%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:14:57 prediction Map
Oregon:

John Kitzhaber (D)^ 49%

Chris Dudley (R) 49%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:04 prediction Map
California:

Jerry Brown (D) 52%

Meg Whitman (R)^ 46%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:12 prediction Map
Nevada:

Brian Sandoval (R)^ 55%

Rory Reid (D) 43%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:22 prediction Map
Idaho:

Butch Otter (R)* 55%

Keith Allred (D) 41%

All Others 4%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:32 prediction Map
Utah:

Gary Herbert (R)* 63%

Peter Corroon (D) 36%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:41 prediction Map
Arizona:

Jan Brewer (R)* 55%

Terry Goddard (D) 42%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:15:55 prediction Map
Wyoming:

Matt Mead (R) 61%

Leslie Petersen(D)^ 32%

All Others 7%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:03 prediction Map
Colorado:

John Hickenlooper (D)^ 47%

Tom Tancredo (C) 37%

Dan Maes (R) 14%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:14 prediction Map
New Mexico:

Susana Martinez (R) 54%

Diane Denish (D)^ 46%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:24 prediction Map
South Dakota:

Dennis Daugaard (R)^ 61%

Scott Heidepreim (D) 36%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:33 prediction Map
Nebraska:

Dave Heineman (R)* 68%

Mike Meister (D) 29%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:42 prediction Map
Kansas:

Sam Brownback (R) 63%

Tom Holland (D)^ 31%

All Others 6%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:49 prediction Map
Oklahoma:

Mary Fallin (R) 58%

Jari Askins (D)^ 42%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:16:58 prediction Map
Texas:

Rick Perry (R)* 53%

Bill White (D) 45%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:17:08 prediction Map
Minnesota:

Mark Dayton (D) 44%

Tom Emmer (R)^ 37%

Tom Horner (I) 18%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:17:26 prediction Map
Iowa:

Terry Branstad (R) 56%

Chet Culver (D)* 40%

All Others 4%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:17:37 prediction Map
Arkansas:

Mike Beebe (D)* 57%

Jim Keet (R) 42%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:17:45 prediction Map
Wisconsin:

Scott Walker (R) 53%

Tom Barrett (D)^ 46%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:17:56 prediction Map
Illinois:

Bill Brady (R) 50%

Pat Quinn (D)* 45%

All Others 5%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:08 prediction Map
Tennessee:

Bill Haslam (R) 62%

Mike McWherter (D)^ 37%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:18 prediction Map
Michigan:

Rick Snyder (R) 59%

Virg Bernero (D)^ 39%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:29 prediction Map
Alabama:

Robert Bentley (R)^ 59%

Ron Sparks (D) 41%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:37 prediction Map
Ohio:

John Kasich (R) 50%

Ted Strickland (D)* 48%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:45 prediction Map
New York:

Andrew Cuomo (D)^ 59%

Carl Paladino (R) 38%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:18:57 prediction Map
Pennsylvania:

Tom Corbett (R) 55%

Dan Onorato (D)^ 44%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:19:08 prediction Map
Maryland:

Martin O’Malley (D)* 54%

Bob Ehrlich (R) 44%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:19:18 prediction Map
South Carolina:

Nikki Haley (R)^ 53%

Vincent Sheheen (D) 44%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:19:28 prediction Map
Georgia:

Nathan Deal (R) 52%

Roy Barnes (D) 45%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:19:38 prediction Map
Florida:

Alex Sink (D) 51%

Rick Scott (R) 48%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:19:45 prediction Map
Vermont:

Peter Shumlin (D) 49%

Brian Dubie (R)^ 48%

All Others 3%

Legislature selects Shumlin

Last Edit: 2010-10-17 @ 13:07:25
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:20:04 prediction Map
Massachusetts:

Deval Patrick (D)* 45%

Charlie Baker (R) 41%

Tim Cahill (I) 12%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:20:14 prediction Map
Conneticut:

Dan Malloy (D) 53%

Tom Foley (R)^ 45%

All Others 2%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:20:24 prediction Map
New Hampshire:

John Lynch (D)* 56%

John Stephen (R) 43%

All Others 1%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:20:36 prediction Map
Rhode Island:

Frank Caprio (D) 38%

Lincoln Chaffee (I) 35%

John Robitaille (R)^ 24%

All Others 3%
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-10-16 @ 19:20:46 prediction Map
Maine:

Paul LePage (R) 39%

Libby Mitchell (D)^ 37%

Eliot Cutler (I) 21%

All Others 3%

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 246
P 2022 Senate 32/35 27/35 59/70 84.3% pie 5 7 69T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 4 17 88T272
P 2020 President 54/56 52/56 106/112 94.6% pie 1 212 1T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 27/35 58/70 82.9% pie 1 210 12T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 1 212 10T293
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 4 24 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 1 306 226T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T149
P 2016 President 51/56 29/56 80/112 71.4% pie 14 0 246T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 19/34 50/68 73.5% pie 7 0 89T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 3 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 123 57T112
P 2014 Senate 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 8 0 122T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 4 0 123T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 34 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 42 2 146T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 7 2 74T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 2 2 131T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 23/52 68/104 65.4% pie 41 - 13T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 11 1 12T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 108 0 21T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 59 0 45T312
Aggregate Predictions 597/655 428/655 1025/1310 78.2% pie



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