Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-11-27 Version:1

Prediction Map

swimmercrat Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

swimmercrat Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	25
Rep	12
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	20
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+6	+8	0	-2	-2	10	7	17	+6
Rep	0	+2	+2	-2	-6	-8	5	5	10	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
37	25	12

Analysis

Again, optimism.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	25/37	13/37	38/74	51.4%		1	340	408	T	456
2010 Governor	25/37	12/37	37/74	50.0%		1	340	253	T	312
2008 President	53/56	38/56	91/112	81.3%		10	31	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		4	31	81	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		4	31	9	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	21/52	5/52	26/104	25.0%		5	-	172	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	23/49	10/49	33/98	33.7%		5	-	113	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	7	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%		12	1	65	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	26/36	59/72	81.9%		14	1	36	T	312
2004 President	49/56	26/56	75/112	67.0%		23	1	1483	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	306/403	183/403	489/806	60.7%

Links

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