PredictionsEndorse2011 Gubernatorial Predictions - MilesC56 (D-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2011-03-14 Version:20

Prediction Map
MilesC56 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
MilesC56 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non46
 

Confidence States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non46
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000001120
Rep0000001120
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) 2011-03-14 @ 22:50:04 prediction Map
My take...

Looks like the 2011 cycle will almost certainly end up with with 2 Republicans and 2 Democrats.

All 4 are red states.

Jindal is very popular and is emphasizing Obama's unpopularity in LA.
Bryant will almost definitely win MS; the Magnolia State's transition from Dixiecrat to Republican is complete. I sure hope Gene Taylor seeks a rematch in 2012...

Steve Beshear is personally popular and state Democrats are in surprisingly good shape in KY; Dems control every statewide office except for Ag. Commissioner.

Politically, WV is one of favorite states and I am proud to be of West Virginina heritage. Dixiecrats still dominate local and state politics. The winner of the Democratic primary, be it Tomblin or Tennant, will easily win. That said, Capito would be competitive should she run in 2012. In future elections, Democrats have a huge bench to draw from here; both chambers of the state legislature are at least 65% Democratic.

 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) 2011-03-15 @ 22:05:51 prediction Map
Damn....this thread is DEAD!!

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) 2011-03-18 @ 09:49:52 prediction Map
I am glad you came around to the thinking of many on MS.

 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) 2011-03-19 @ 17:55:34 prediction Map
Well if Taylor were running, it would be a different story.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 51/56 30/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 0 194T678
P 2016 Senate 28/34 19/34 47/68 69.1% pie 8 1 213T362
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 3 0 8T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 21/36 54/72 75.0% pie 37 0 138T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 21/36 51/72 70.8% pie 31 0 22T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 4 58 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 61 0 146T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 25/33 57/66 86.4% pie 34 0 5T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 3 0 1T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 21/52 63/104 60.6% pie 30 - 27T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 29 66 37T106
P 2010 Senate 37/37 30/37 67/74 90.5% pie 191 0 2T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 123 0 59T312
Aggregate Predictions 360/397 250/397 610/794 76.8% pie



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