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Date of Prediction: 2013-10-17 Version:1
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 4)
Analysis
Whether or not McAuliffe gets over 50% depends on how much people are using the Libertarian candidate, Sarvis, as a way of telling pollsters they don't like either of the two major party candidates when in reality they'll be voting for one of the two who have a shot at winning. I think at least of half of Sarvis' poll support is from that, in which case McAuliffe should have no problems crossing the 50% threshold. Member Comments User's Predictions
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